Last week, Vice-President of the CGPME, Jean-François Veysset, had reported data "concern" from a lift ASSEDIC "brutal" unemployment, without giving specific figures. ( Finance Information City )
According to documents made public by management studies and statistics on unemployment insurance, UNEDIC no longer expected to net creation of 43,000 jobs affiliated with the unemployment insurance over the years even against 119,000 in June, based on an assumption of growth in line with the government, 1% on average over the year (against 1.7% in June).
Due to an increase in population of 74,000 people over the year, the number of jobseekers category 1 - people looking for work full time and indefinite whose activity has reduced less than 78 hours in the month - increase by 46,000 in 2008 compared to 2007. In June, unemployment insurance still expected to lower the number of unemployed category 1 80,000 in 2008.
For jobseekers categories 1 to 6, closer to international standards of definition of unemployment, the increase would be 29,000 people. In June, Unedic expected a decline of 72,000 jobseekers Category 1 to 6.
The UNEDIC provides a continuation of this increase in 2009 with 41,000 applicants for jobs over the year before a further decline from 2010 (-2,000 jobseekers)
accelerate in 2011 with 70,000 unemployed and less on the year. Questioned about this, the management of unemployment insurance has however agreed that the current situation made these projections "random".
"The figures dating Assedic of concern is brutal. Many people come to indicate that they have lost or will lose their jobs. While confirming that we will face a reversal of employment with an end of year 2008 problem and a year 2009 where we will have to master the destruction of employment ", said Friday at the press vice-president of the CGPME.
The magnitude of the effects of the crisis leads to a "need verification" which "could cause some discrepancies in trading on unemployment insurance," said Mr Veysset, whose organization is one managers Unedic, alongside the union and other employers.
Regarding the unemployment rate under International Labor Office (ILO), it is released by INSEE every three months. For the second quarter of 2008, the rate stood at 7.6% of the population of France (7.2% excluding DOM), stable compared to the first quarter according to data from INSEE on September 4 . The unemployment rate in the 3rd quarter 2008 should be released on 4 December.
After taking into account the financial implications of the merger ANPE-Assedic and under the assumption of a 1% growth in 2008, 0.9% in 2009, 1.6% in 2010 and 2.1% in 2011, the 'Unedic also believes that its financial situation "remain negative" end of 2009 (-1.1 billion), "would become positive in 2010" and "reach 9.4 billion" end of 2011.
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